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Will the TTM tantalum concentrate import price exceed 150 USD/lb on May 1, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ50
May 1
31%
chance

Resolves YES if the trailing twelve months (TTM) average price for tantalum concentrate imports, measured in USD per pound, is strictly greater than 150 USD/lb on May 1, 2026. Resolution will use official industry price indexes or trade data published by recognized sources such as the US Geological Survey (USGS) or major commodity price reporting agencies. Current market tightness driven by strong capacitor demand and supply disruptions from the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda has pushed prices near this level, making 150 USD/lb a meaningful threshold to capture near-term price trends. Only prices for tantalum concentrate imports count; prices for refined tantalum or other forms do not apply.

Tantalum concentrate prices are surging due to increased capacitor demand and supply disruptions from DRC and Rwanda. As market tightness persists, prices are expected to continue rising in the near term.

Source: Article

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