This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 200 USD/kg on July 31, 2026.
What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to July 31, 2026.
YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 200 USD/kg on July 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 200 USD/kg on July 31, 2026
Resolution sources (priority order):
Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
Fastmarkets (ex-Metal Pages) Sm metal Western spot
SMM samarium metal Western assessment
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ49 | |
| 2 | Ṁ10 | |
| 3 | Ṁ9 | |
| 4 | Ṁ5 | |
| 5 | Ṁ2 |
Proposed resolution: NO Verified: 11.02 USD/kg for 2026-07-31 — https://rare-earth-mining.com/rare-earth-market-outlook-july-2026/
Rationale: Deterministic: verified value 11.02 USD/kg for 2026-07-31 vs threshold 200 (exceeds)
Sources read: