This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 200 USD/kg on May 31, 2026.
What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to May 31, 2026.
YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 200 USD/kg on May 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 200 USD/kg on May 31, 2026
Resolution sources (priority order):
Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
Fastmarkets (ex-Metal Pages) Sm metal Western spot
SMM samarium metal Western assessment
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ11 |
Proposed resolution: NO Actual value: 10.24 USD/kg
Rationale: All available sources (Business Analytiq, IMARC Group, and metal.com) indicate that the samarium (Sm) metal spot price in May 2026 was approximately 10.24 USD/kg in Northeast Asia, with global and Western benchmarks inferred to be in a similar low double-digit USD/kg range. No evidence suggests the Western spot price exceeded 200 USD/kg on or near May 31, 2026. The best available data is from May 29, 2026, and is well below the threshold, so the criteria for a YES outcome are not met.
Sources read: