I just made an account on the forecasting website Metaculus and made 11 predictions. I'm more inclined towards betting than just predicting, and the markets seem to be a bit more serious/esoteric than Manifold, though there are certainly some politics questions I'm interested in, and it seems like a cool concept. I've definitely heard a fair bit about Metaculus. I could take it or leave it.

I promise not to intentionally alter my Metaculus behavior to manipulate this market.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.