Will Metaculus predict [Human Extinction 2100] as 2%+ at the New Year?
Mini
4
1.0k
2100
50%
2%+ (Resolves start of 2026)
34%
2%+ (Resolves start of 2025)
Resolved
NO
2%+ (Resolves start of 2024)

Resolves annually to Metaculus' community prediction. Feel free to add new years and integer thresholds in a matching format.

Get Ṁ600 play money