Will Metaculus predict [Human Extinction 2100] as 2%+ at the New Year?
Basic
4
Ṁ10392100
1D
1W
1M
ALL
50%
2%+ (Resolves start of 2026)
34%
2%+ (Resolves start of 2025)
Resolved
NO2%+ (Resolves start of 2024)
Resolves annually to Metaculus' community prediction. Feel free to add new years and integer thresholds in a matching format.
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