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MANIFOLD
Will the US attack Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections?
4
Ṁ1kṀ1.2k
Nov 2
26%
chance

Resolves YES if the U.S. military attacks Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections on Nov 3, 2026.
Resolves NO otherwise.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

Before early voting starts? Or before Election Day proper?

Not trying to split hairs: I think there's a not-insignificant chance that Trump launches an attack after early voting but before election day, since there's a partisan difference in who votes when.

@LoganTurner Before November 3, 2026. I will add that clarification to the description, thanks for posting this

bought Ṁ100 YES

What counts as an attack?

@xjp A military attack. I will add the qualifier "military" to the description, thanks