Will Violent Insurgencies Emerge in the United States before 2032?
12
100αΉ2412032
53%
chance
1H
6H
1D
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1M
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Resolution will be based on whether there is media consensus that any actions undertaken by politically motivated guerrilla groups represent an insurgency. I will not bet on this market. I'm open to suggestions that refine the resolution criteria before 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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