Will it be effectively impossible to tell a human and a high quality AI apart on social media before 2026?
Plus
29
Ṁ10272025
89%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on existence of AI bots indistinguishable from normal users in normal usage on social media
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@mariopasquato based on the best determination I'm able to make at the time, I was thinking only about models available to the public, do you have any suggestions on how to improve the description?
@Fion a human one would want to interact with, in other words if it becomes impossible to safely disregard bot comments based on available information.
@NathanScott readily available information, so comment history, consistency, profile yes, background checks and data brokers no.
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2026?
1% chance
Will any Twitter account with at least 10,000 followers be discovered to be an AI during 2024?
59% chance
Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?
57% chance
Will an AI have >10 million Twitter followers by 2025?
19% chance
Will any Twitter account with at least 100,000 followers be discovered to be an AI during 2024?
21% chance
Will AI be able to illustrate a short story at human level before 2025?
51% chance
Will we believe that AI character bots make it harder for kids to form human friendships by 2028?
61% chance
Will an AI have >20 million Twitter followers by the 2025?
16% chance
Will I have a convincing video call with a fully synthetic AI avatar before July 2025?
43% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2025?
1% chance