Resolves based on existence of AI bots indistinguishable from normal users in normal usage on social media
People are also trading
There are numerous tests that work. A battery of all of them would pretty reliably differentiate an AI from a human. The maker said no background checks or data brokers, but questions about politics, background questions (asked via comments), threat responses, and especially changes of subject, are all still good ways to tell a bot from a human in normal usage. Of course, one couldn't distinguish correctly 100% of the time, but the market doesn't seem to be asking that (and would be nondisprovable if it did). I might have put up a bigger order, but since the maker has the biggest Yes position and resolution is subjective, I have to be careful.
@mariopasquato based on the best determination I'm able to make at the time, I was thinking only about models available to the public, do you have any suggestions on how to improve the description?
@Fion a human one would want to interact with, in other words if it becomes impossible to safely disregard bot comments based on available information.
@NathanScott readily available information, so comment history, consistency, profile yes, background checks and data brokers no.