Will a weakly general AI become publicly known before 2030?
22
1kṀ4032029
78%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to this Metaculus question:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will a weakly general AI become publicly known?
2028
Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?
70% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
6% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
89% chance
Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2030?
41% chance
Will it be publicly revealed before 2030 that AGI had actually already been achieved before the year 2000?
5% chance
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2050?
86% chance
Will an AI be solely responsible for an AI breakthrough by the end of 2030?
74% chance