
Will a weakly general AI become publicly known before 2030?
22
Ṁ1kṀ4032029
78%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to this Metaculus question:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI stop being dumb by the end of 2027?
34% chance
When will a weakly general AI become publicly known?
2030
Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?
68% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
6% chance
Will AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
47% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2030?
42% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
84% chance
Will it be publicly revealed before 2030 that AGI had actually already been achieved before the year 2000?
5% chance
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?