Will a weakly general AI become publicly known before 2030?
22
1kṀ4032029
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to this Metaculus question:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
When will a weakly general AI become publicly known?
2028
By 2033, Will an AI be elected to public office in a democracy?
27% chance
Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?
7% chance
Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?
80% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
8% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2030?
38% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
92% chance
Will it be publicly revealed before 2030 that AGI had actually already been achieved before the year 2000?
5% chance
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?