Will humanity wipe out humanity before the year 2030? | Manifold

Will humanity wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

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18

Ṁ1487

2030

3%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO.

If humanity is not around for AI unrelated reasons then this market resolves to YES.

If neither humanity nor AIs are around then this market does not resolve.

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Shouldn't this one no longer be in the AI Doom group?

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Does the last resolution criterion imply that if humanity is wiped out an AI will resolve this market?

@PedeJo I sure hope it does

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