Will I wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
Standard
17
Ṁ582
2030
5%
chance

If humanity (including or excluding me) is still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO.

If humanity is not around but I am then this market resolves to YES.

If humanity is not around and I am not around, but someone or something who can resolve this market is, then this market resolves to NO.

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Title suggests causation, criteria does not.

Yes ❤ I tried to base it as closely on the AI market, which also lacks causal criteria.

@Nadja_L Causation is hard to determine post-apocalypse.