What score will o1-pro achieve on FrontierMath?
9
100Ṁ642resolved Feb 6
ResolvedN/A
20%
0-4%
33%
5%-9%
26%
10-19%
17%
20-49%
4%
50+%
This market resolves as soon as OpenAI's o1-pro is tested on FrontierMath by a reputable source. Currently, no model achieves even 2%, as noted on page 9 of https://arxiv.org/pdf/2411.04872
I will not bet in this market.
An introduction to FrontierMath can be found here https://epoch.ai/frontiermath
Update 2025-16-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Closing Time: Extended until the release of o3.
Resolution Criteria:
If o1-pro is tested on FrontierMath by a reputable source before the release of o3, the market resolves accordingly.
If no benchmark results by the release of o3, the market resolves as N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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