Will a paper falsified (or containing false data generated) by a LLM tool be published in an accredited journal in 2024?
Plus
23
Ṁ620resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
LLM assistants and similar tools are notorious for outputting bad data and false citations ("hallucinating"). There has already been a highly public case of this leading to legal malpractice (https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/27/nyregion/avianca-airline-lawsuit-chatgpt.html). Will we see a similar case or cases in the scientific arena during 2024?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors?
48% chance
Will I write an academic paper using an LLM by 2030?
65% chance
At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors?
43% chance
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?
50% chance
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
34% chance
Will an AI-generated paper be accepted into Nature by 2025?
23% chance
Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030?
70% chance
Will a paper fully created by AI be accepted into Nature by 2030?
58% chance
Will any widely used LLM be pre-trained with abstract synthetic data before 2030?
74% chance
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2025?
14% chance