Will a paper falsified (or containing false data generated) by a LLM tool be published in an accredited journal in 2024?
Plus
22
Ṁ470Dec 31
80%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
LLM assistants and similar tools are notorious for outputting bad data and false citations ("hallucinating"). There has already been a highly public case of this leading to legal malpractice (https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/27/nyregion/avianca-airline-lawsuit-chatgpt.html). Will we see a similar case or cases in the scientific arena during 2024?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a Biology paper containing false data generated by a LLM tool be published in an accredited journal in 2024?
49% chance
Will a Psychology paper containing false data generated by a LLM tool be published in an accredited journal in 2024?
62% chance
Will I write an academic paper using an LLM by 2030?
65% chance
In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors?
46% chance
At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors?
42% chance
Will we see improvements in the TruthfulQA LLM benchmark in 2024?
74% chance
Will a LLM/elicit be able to do proper causal modeling (identifying papers that didn't control for covariates) in 2024?
41% chance
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?
52% chance
Will any major news outlet discredit an election's results due to use of LLMs in 2024?
38% chance
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
38% chance