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MANIFOLD
Will Meta's reported 2026 full-year AI/data-center capex be at least $130B?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ11
2027
51%
chance

On April 28, 2026, Meta announced 2026 capex guidance of $115-135 billion, nearly double 2025's spending. The actual full-year reported figure will land somewhere in or around this range. This market asks whether the reported full-year capex (per Meta's Q4 2026 earnings or 10-K) will be at least $130 billion — i.e., toward the high end of guidance. RESOLVES YES if Meta's officially reported full-year 2026 capital expenditures (from the FY2026 10-K filing, expected late January or early February 2027) are ≥ $130.0 billion. RESOLVES NO if reported full-year 2026 capex is < $130 billion. Source: Meta's 10-K filed with the SEC. If filing is delayed past March 2027, market resolves on the latest available guidance/preliminary.

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