Will Adept AI be valued at $20B or greater by the end of 2026?
Basic
3
Ṁ532027
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the company Adept AI (https://www.adept.ai/) be valued, on public or private markets, at $20B or greater by the end of 2026? If they raise at a post-money valuation greater than $20B, this market resolves to true. Resolves on January 1st, 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
Learn more.1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
Learn more.1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.Related questions
Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?
Will OpenAI reach a valuation of $300B by mid-2026?
65% chance
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will Extropic AI be worth at least $100 million before 2028?
37% chance
Will OpenAI be valued above $1 trillion before 2030?
49% chance
Will OpenAI be valued more than a trillion dollar at anytime before 2034?
42% chance
Will OpenAI reach $12B annualized revenue by end of 2025?
76% chance
What AI-related companies will quintuple their value by mid 2027?
Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
31% chance