Unclear criteria, possibly self-resolving, inactive creator, shouldn't be a parmutuel market at all...

Resolving N/A unless some of @traders object in the next couple days.

Someone should remake this, it seems like an interesting topic!

@ByrneHobart If this is a self-resolving market, I doubt it will do what you want it to:

https://manifold.markets/post/selfresolving-markets-why-they-dont

Whether it's self-resolving or not, I suspect it can either resolve or have trading extended until we know the answer.

If only we had numeric markets!

This will resolve to "YES" based on the popularity of answers.

this mismatche title

we are predicting what other users will predict, not whether such robot will exist

What's the resolution criteria again? You're just resolving proportionally to all answers relative to their percentages?

@MattP I was going to go with picking the most popular one, but if that's against the norms I can do something else.

@ByrneHobart whatever you want to do! As long as it's communicated so everyone who's betting knows.

I usually avoid doing "pick the most popular" as resolution personally, because it's vulnerable to someone coming in at the last minute and dropping a ton on one option.

Ignoring the AI portion of this, the robotic motion control problems for making arms strong enough to lift and wedge together the heavier parts, while also not accidentally ripping those parts to pieces, seems way too hard all by itself.

@FutureOwl Yeah, the stuff I've read on how hard it is to beat the human hand for problems like "screw in a screw but don't completely destroy the thing you're screwing it into" has made me appreciate how well-designed the human hand is, and/or how much of the world is designed for our mix of real-time feedback and fine motor control.