Resolution criteria
This market resolves YES when a humanoid robot (bipedal, anthropomorphic form factor) successfully completes all of the following in a single, continuous attempt:
Unboxes a previously unreleased Lego set with 5,000+ pieces
Reads and interprets the instruction manual as provided to human builders
Assembles the entire model according to the manual without human intervention
Resolution will be determined by video evidence published by the robot manufacturer or verified by independent third parties. The robot must perform these tasks autonomously without teleoperation or pre-programming for the set in question. The assembly must be completed to a state where the final model matches the official Lego product specifications.
Considerations
Lego assembly presents a specific challenge beyond general dexterity: it requires sustained fine motor control, spatial reasoning, reading comprehension, and error correction across thousands of small pieces. The robotic dexterity problem is such that humanoid demos and deployments will often avoid complex manipulation tasks. Additionally, most humanoids today operate for only about two hours, and achieving a full eight-hour shift without recharging could take up to 10 years or even longer. A 5,000+ piece set could require multiple hours of continuous operation.
1,000