In 2030, will commercially available robots have the capability of opening most Ikea packages meant to be built by one person, and build them, using the printed instructions as guides?
If it is ambiguous whether they have this capability, or they may have it but I and other market participants aren't able to test this by then but some robot is not updated over time so the December 2030 capabilities can be tested after 2030, the market will resolve to these December 2030 capabilities.
If the robot was clearly trained explicitly for this task (eg it doesn't even need the printed instructions), that is still sufficient for a positive resolution.
Ill use this to plug my question:
https://manifold.markets/MalteKretzschmar/wich-company-will-be-the-first-to-s