Will I be able to purchase a house robot by the end of 2026?
12
100Ṁ285
2027
20%
chance

This resolves YES if by the end of 2026, I am able to purchase, for a reasonable price, let's say 50k or under (the price of a luxury sedan), a house robot.

The house robot must be capable of several of the following (though not necessarily all):

-Cleaning

-Cooking

-Doing dishes

-Laundry

-Tidying

-Conversing / companionship

-Pet maintenance

Generally, I will try to resolve this question in the spirit of the market. A robot that just provides companionship in the form of LLM responses, and, perhaps, one gimmicky task such as folding laundry laid on a table for it, or something, would probably not qualify. But a robot that can, for example, cook good meals and clean up after itself would likely qualify, even if it was primarily limited to the kitchen. It needs to be able to do good robot things, y'know?

I must be able to actually purchase it (not that I will purchase it, of course), but like it can't be a testing demo available to a few hundred people who have to apply by being influencers or beta testers or something.

If there's a waitlist (due to limited number of products), that's fine. If it's limited to people in certain regions, I guess, I'd have to be able to realistically get it. Like, if it's available in 35 states or something, I guess I could move and buy it so that's reasonable. But if it's only available in China or Japan or within an approved square mile of testing location in Berkeley, CA, or something, that would not qualify.

If I can buy it in December 2026, but it doesn't ship until February 2027, that's also fine, as long as it's very clear that it will actually ship and that it will do what it's supposed to do (house robot things), that have been clearly demo-ed and aren't just some sort of scam.

I will not bet in this market as it's pretty subjective.

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