Trump Presidential Candidate Status over the '24 and '28 elections.
Mini
5
Ṁ619
2028
47%
Trump nominated in '24 and wins
4%
Trump nominated in '24 and loses, then nominated in '28 and wins
21%
Trump nominated in '24 and loses, then nominated in '28 and loses
23%
Trump nominated in '24 and loses, not nominated in '28
1%
Trump not nominated in '24, then nominated in '28 and wins
1.5%
Trump not nominated in '24, then nominated in '28 and loses
2%
Trump not nominated in '24 or '28.

This market is a joint market over Donald Trump's status in the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections: Whether he is nominated by the Republican Party convention and whether he wins when nominated.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money