Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 US presidential election?
3
1kṀ261
2028
54%
Tucker Carlson vs. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
52%
J.D. Vance vs. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
50%
Marco Rubio vs. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
47%
J.D. Vance vs. Pete Buttigieg
46%
Tucker Carlson vs. Gavin Newsom
43%
Marco Rubio vs. Gavin Newsom
42%
Marco Rubio vs. Pete Buttigieg
38%
J.D. Vance vs. Gavin Newsom
23%
Tucker Carlson vs. Pete Buttigieg

When the primaries for both parties' candidates conclude, the combination of the Republican and Democratic nominees selected by the primaries will begin to function as a regular binary market, and all other options will resolve N/A and will be regarded as irrelevant for the remaining duration of the market.

If the Republican nominee listed on the option wins the presidential election, the chosen option shall resolve YES. If the Democratic nominee (or a third party/independent candidate) wins, the chosen option shall resolve NO.

The 9 initial combinations of candidates provided here are based on the current betting favorites on Polymarket. Anyone may add a combination to this market.

The format for adding an option to the market is as follows:

[REPUBLICAN NOMINEE] vs. [DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE]

Any other formats, as well as obvious troll answers, will resolve N/A immediately.

If something extraordinary occurs (for instance, the US descends into civil war), all options will automatically resolve N/A.

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