Most other (manifold) markets have converged on a ~25% probability (as of July 7th 2023) of Donald Trump winning the 2024 United States presidential election.

Given this, what is the likelihood that Donald Trump will seek and win the Republican nomination in 2028?

This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump is the 2028 Republican presidential nominee. This market will resolve NO if Donald Trump is still alive and is not the 2028 nominee. If Donald Trump dies before the relevant date, this market will resolve N/A.

I am open to arguments about changing the N/A criteria such that his death will make this market resolve NO. If you believe this would be a better resolution criteria, please comment.