The 2024 election, both in Toss-up states and at large
Basic
8
Ṁ1491resolved Nov 6
100%96%
Democrat loses hypothetical // Democrat loses in reality
4%
Democrat wins hypothetical // Democrat wins in reality
0.3%
Democrat wins hypothetical // Democrat loses in reality
0.2%
Democrat loses hypothetical // Democrat wins in reality
This market is a joint market which is a derivative of these two other markets
It resolves according to how these individual markets resolve.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000
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