What will the tipping-point state be in the 2024 POTUS election?
28
1.2kṀ932
resolved Jan 10
100%38%
Pennsylvania
0.2%Other
15%
Michigan
5%
Nevada
5%
Arizona
0.0%
Florida
0.0%
Ohio
0.0%
Texas
6%
Georgia
14%
North Carolina
17%
Wisconsin
0.0%
New Hampshire
0.0%
Colorado
0.0%
Virginia
0.0%
Minnesota
0.0%
Indiana

"The tipping-point state is the first state that gives the winning candidate a majority of electoral votes, thereby securing the candidate's victory in the Electoral College, when all states are arranged in decreasing order of their vote margins for the ultimate winner."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tipping-point_state

Resolves as ambiguous if the election goes to the House because no candidate has a majority in the Electoral College. Margin is determined by percentage, not absolute vote count.

US Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
Election margins
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@mods Creator account is gone, this should be Pennsylvania.

@BoltonBailey Okay, resolving.

Made a version of this with the new market type

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There won't be one because Trump is going to have a Barry Goldwater performance and win 8-10 states max. So CaliThe GOP is insane to nominate someone who got CRUSHED as the incumbent.

This amounts to "which state will have the median (by margin) electoral vote", right?

@StevenK I don’t think so because states have unequal elector numbers

@Radicalia Right, I meant the median elector, not the median state.

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