What will the tipping-point state be in the 2024 POTUS election?

1.2kṀ932

resolved Jan 10

100%38%

Pennsylvania

0.2%Other

15%

Michigan

Nevada

Arizona

0.0%

Florida

0.0%

Ohio

0.0%

Texas

Georgia

14%

North Carolina

17%

Wisconsin

0.0%

New Hampshire

0.0%

Colorado

0.0%

Virginia

0.0%

Minnesota

0.0%

Indiana

"The tipping-point state is the first state that gives the winning candidate a majority of electoral votes, thereby securing the candidate's victory in the Electoral College, when all states are arranged in decreasing order of their vote margins for the ultimate winner."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tipping-point_state

Resolves as ambiguous if the election goes to the House because no candidate has a majority in the Electoral College. Margin is determined by percentage, not absolute vote count.

🇺🇸 US Politics

🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

Election margins

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@mods Creator account is gone, this should be Pennsylvania.

@BoltonBailey Okay, resolving.

Made a version of this with the new market type

There won't be one because Trump is going to have a Barry Goldwater performance and win 8-10 states max. So CaliThe GOP is insane to nominate someone who got CRUSHED as the incumbent.

This amounts to "which state will have the median (by margin) electoral vote", right?

@StevenK I don’t think so because states have unequal elector numbers

@Radicalia Right, I meant the median elector, not the median state.

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