What will the tipping-point state be in the 2024 POTUS election?
14
391
Nov 5
22%
Pennsylvania
3%
Michigan
13%
Nevada
11%
Arizona
3%
Florida
0.6%
Ohio
1.3%
Texas
10%
Georgia
3%
North Carolina
15%
Wisconsin
0.6%
New Hampshire
0.9%
Colorado
1.1%
Virginia
1.4%
Minnesota
0.4%
Indiana

"The tipping-point state is the first state that gives the winning candidate a majority of electoral votes, thereby securing the candidate's victory in the Electoral College, when all states are arranged in decreasing order of their vote margins for the ultimate winner."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tipping-point_state

Resolves as ambiguous if the election goes to the House because no candidate has a majority in the Electoral College. Margin is determined by percentage, not absolute vote count.

Get αΉ€1,000 play money
Sort by:
bought αΉ€1 of Texas

Made a version of this with the new market type

bought αΉ€1 of North Carolina

Related

There won't be one because Trump is going to have a Barry Goldwater performance and win 8-10 states max. So CaliThe GOP is insane to nominate someone who got CRUSHED as the incumbent.

This amounts to "which state will have the median (by margin) electoral vote", right?

bought αΉ€3 of Colorado

@StevenK I don’t think so because states have unequal elector numbers

@Radicalia Right, I meant the median elector, not the median state.