According to Elon Musk, the most entertaining outcome is the most likely

This market resolves to YES if the election of 2024 has an entertaining outcome, according to my own judgment. This means something very unusual that will make a politics junk like me very entertained.

Here's an non-exaustive list of possible outcomes:

• A constitucional crisis

• A tie in the Electoral College

• A civil war

• One of the candidates die and there's a scramble to decide who fills the ticket (not all deaths are entertaining)

• A jailed criminal is elected president

• Faithless electors change the outcome of the election

• A State legislature doesn't send the votes widely known as the correct ones

• The list goes on

I think I would only consider the recent 2000 election as entertaining.

This market resolves on the inauguration day.

I won't bet. I can provide guidance in the comments.