Will the 2024 election have higher turnout than 2020?
146
1kṀ37k
resolved Mar 14
Resolved
NO

The 2020 election had the highest turnout in decades, but will it be even higher in 2024? Specifically, will voter turnout as a percentage of the voting eligible population exceed that of 2020?

This will resolve once I find reliable data that gives me the answer with confidence, so if early analyses show very similar voter turnout to last time, it could be a while before I can confidently say that turnout was higher or lower.

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@mods please resolve

bought Ṁ6,000 NO

@PlasmaBallin This can resolve easily now, using uselectionatlas or any other source

VEP is up about 4 million from 2020, so this is even less likely than a raw count record, right?

bought Ṁ40 NO

Related market trying to predict exact rate (rate for 2020 was 67%):

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