Will the 2024 election have higher turnout than 2020?
Plus
145
Ṁ36kMar 1
1.1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The 2020 election had the highest turnout in decades, but will it be even higher in 2024? Specifically, will voter turnout as a percentage of the voting eligible population exceed that of 2020?
This will resolve once I find reliable data that gives me the answer with confidence, so if early analyses show very similar voter turnout to last time, it could be a while before I can confidently say that turnout was higher or lower.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the 2024 President Election have a higher voter turnout than the 2020 Election?
2% chance
Will the 2024 President Election have a higher voter turnout than the 2020 Election?
2% chance
Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2024 than it was in 2022?
27% chance
Will voter participation in the US be higher in 2024 than 2020?
2% chance
Will the 2024 Oregon voter turnout be higher than 2020 Oregon voter turnout?
82% chance
Will the 2024 election have a young person voter turn out that surpasses that of the same turnout in the 2020 election?
65% chance
What will voter turnout be in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will voter turnout in the 2024 presidential election in Wisconsin be higher percentwise than in 2020
36% chance
Will the Asian voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 60% or larger?
59% chance
Will the mail-in ballot rate for 2024 be closer to 2020’s 43% (YES) than 2022’s 31.8% (NO)?
20% chance