In which state will the tipping point House seat be located in the 2024 US Election?
Basic
15
Ṁ1391Dec 31
50%
California
14%
7%
Iowa
6%
Colorado
5%
Arizona
4%
Texas
4%
Nebraska
3%
Maine
2%
New Jersey
1.5%
New York
1.4%
Pennsylvania
Order all the 2024 House races by the Democrats' margin of victory (i.e. % D vote - % R vote). Which House race is the one that would give Democrats their 218th seat? In 2022, it was Iowa's 3rd Congressional District. See more: https://ballotpedia.org/Election_results,_2022:_Congressional_margin_of_victory_analysis
This market will resolve ignoring any resignations or deaths, purely based off the recorded election results.
Feel free to add your own answers, however they must be valid states that have not already been added.
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