JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028
18
100Ṁ11512029
7%
Ascends from VP term // Is Nominated // Wins
12%
Ascends from VP term // Is Nominated // Loses
0.5%
Ascends from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Wins Anyway
3%
Ascends from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses
21%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Nominated // Wins
24%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Nominated // Loses
1%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Wins Anyway
31%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses
This market is a combinatorial market on several outcomes related to JD Vance's potential to become president in or before 2029. It asks 3 questions:
Will Vance become president during the term to which he was elected as vice president in 2024?
Resolves according to this market.
Will he be a Major Party nominee?
Resolves according to whether this market resolves (50%) to JD Vance
Will he win the general election?
Resolves according to whether this market resolves to JD Vance
/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
24% chance
Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028?
15% chance
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?
45% chance
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Presidential Election of the United States?
24% chance
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
JD Vance on TBPN before 2026?
24% chance
Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?
13% chance
Will JD Vance ever be president?
48% chance
Will JD Vance be president for two weeks by mid 2027
21% chance