Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Presidential Election of the United States?
Standard
20
Ṁ1703
2029
18%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

I've made a conditional version of this market: https://manifold.markets/nsokolsky/conditional-on-republicans-winning

Based on how this market is oscillating, I think there might be some confusion about the resolution criteria.

Does this resolve YES if JD Vance wins the election as Vice-President? Or is this asking whether JD Vance will win the presidency?

sold Ṁ60 YES

Just asking for clarification, btw. I already sold my shares and took my losses and I'm OK with that, my bad for betting on a market I wasn't clear on. However, I think some people might be misunderstanding.