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MANIFOLD
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Presidential Election of the United States?
45
Ṁ1kṀ8.1k
2029
20%
chance

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US Politics
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I've made a conditional version of this market: https://manifold.markets/nsokolsky/conditional-on-republicans-winning

Based on how this market is oscillating, I think there might be some confusion about the resolution criteria.

Does this resolve YES if JD Vance wins the election as Vice-President? Or is this asking whether JD Vance will win the presidency?

sold Ṁ60 YES

Just asking for clarification, btw. I already sold my shares and took my losses and I'm OK with that, my bad for betting on a market I wasn't clear on. However, I think some people might be misunderstanding.

@coproduct @NathanDickson I assume this does what it says on the tin? It's about whether JD Vance wins the presidency, not vice presidency?

@EvanDaniel Yes, POTUS not VPOTUS

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