Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if JD Vance, the 50th vice president of the United States, assumes presidential powers at any point during 2026. This includes:

• The Vice President becoming President in case of the removal of the President from office or of his death or resignation

• The Vice President assuming powers as Acting President when the President transmits a written declaration of inability to discharge the powers and duties of his office

• The Vice President immediately assuming the powers and duties of the office as Acting President when the Vice President and a majority of principal officers of the executive departments transmit a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office

Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the White House, Congress, or constitutional succession procedures documented in the Federal Register or official government sources.