Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April? [Polymarket]

Question

Resolves per this market: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-end-of-april

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 58% chance (5 traders, as of Apr 17, 2026).

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