Ukraine peace deal announcement date?
6
125Ṁ117Dec 31
October 23, 2025
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
9%
August 21–22, 2025 (This Week)
9%
August 28–30, 2025 (Next Week)
44%
September 15–20, 2025 (Post-summit diplomacy)
38%
No deal in 2025
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@creator these options aren't exhaustive, e.g. what is the resolution if there is a deal on October 23 (as the market currently seems to be expect)?
People are also trading
Related questions
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
16% chance
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by October 15, 2025?
9% chance
When will a Ukraine–Russia peace deal be announced?
Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended duration of at least 28 days before October 1st, 2025?
5% chance
When will peace talks between Russia and Ukraine start?
2027
Will Ukraine reach a peace treaty with Russia before the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
47% chance
When will the Ukraine war enter a state of "frozen conflict” or the ceasefire agreement is signed?
When will Ukraine join the EU?