
When will peace talks between Russia and Ukraine start?
14
Ṁ1kṀ9542050
2027
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the purposes of this market, I won't count:
Negotiations where one of the parties is not present (such as the UN summit proposed by Ukrainian FM Kuleba)
Negotiations about matters not including a permanent peace settlement (such as the grain deal or an armistice)
Negotiations conducted through intermediaries/backchannels (e.g. oligarchs or other third parties)
An announcement of peace talks without them actually taking place
This is an extension of two more specific markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
28% chance
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
Russia and Ukraine reach cease-fire or armistice in 2026?
48% chance
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS]
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2027?
42% chance
When will the Ukraine war enter a state of "frozen conflict” or the ceasefire agreement is signed?