When will Ukraine join the EU?
43
1kṀ5607
2030
0.5%
2023
1.3%
2024
1.5%
2025
4%
2026
7%
2027
9%
2028
16%
2029
61%
2030 or later or never

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"2030 or later or never" is one hell of a bucket. When prompted about the actual steps required for accession, the Metaculus community gives only a 6% chance of it happening before 2030.

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