When will Ukraine join the EU? | Manifold

When will Ukraine join the EU?

45

1kṀ6473

2030

0.6%

2023

1%

2024

1%

2025

1.9%

2026

6%

2027

4%

2028

22%

2029

64%

2030 or later or never

Market context

Ukraine-Russia war

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@Base resolve 2023, 24, and 25?

@GazDownright I'm not the market creator.

@BrunoParga something weird with the tagging there. Thanks for the heads up

"2030 or later or never" is one hell of a bucket. When prompted about the actual steps required for accession, the Metaculus community gives only a 6% chance of it happening before 2030.

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Will the next country to join the European Union be Ukraine?

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Will Ukraine be a member state of the EU at EOY 2029?

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Will Ukraine be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

When will Kosovo join the EU?

If Ukraine officially gives Luhansk to Russia, will Ukraine be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2029?

Will Ukraine adopt the euro before 2030?

Related questions

Will the next country to join the European Union be Ukraine?

Will Ukraine be a member state of the EU at EOY 2027?

Ukraine joins EU before 2029?

Will Ukraine be a member state of the EU at EOY 2029?

Will Ukraine be a member state of the EU at EOY 2031?

Will Ukraine be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

When will Kosovo join the EU?

If Ukraine officially gives Luhansk to Russia, will Ukraine be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2029?

Will Ukraine adopt the euro before 2030?

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