When will Ukraine join the EU?
41
1kṀ5380
2030
0.5%
2023
1.4%
2024
1.5%
2025
4%
2026
8%
2027
10%
2028
17%
2029
58%
2030 or later or never

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"2030 or later or never" is one hell of a bucket. When prompted about the actual steps required for accession, the Metaculus community gives only a 6% chance of it happening before 2030.

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