
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
28
100Ṁ1157Mar 1
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve yes, if the FDP is part of the next German parliament. The election is currently set for 23th February 2025, but the market will settle to the result of the earliest federal election of the Bundestag after the 19th November (I.e. the date of the election does not influence the result).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@lxgr I will resolve it by the result of the next election. If it gets moved earlier or later, we will use the results of the first federal election starting from now. The date does not influence the result of the market.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the FDP reach 5+ percent in the upcoming German Election?
35% chance
Will the AfD receive >= 20% of votes in the 2025 German federal election?
72% chance
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
94% chance
Will the AfD win a constituency seat in Western Germany?
26% chance
Which of these smaller parties will get seats in the new German Bundestag?
Will SPD and Greens combined win more seats than CDU/CSU in the 2025 German federal election?
37% chance
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
25% chance
Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?
92% chance
What will be the results of the next German federal election?
Which parties will surmount the five percent hurdle at the next German federal election?