Will GPT-5.2's METR 50% time horizon exceed 3 hours 30 minutes?
7
100Ṁ1692027
30%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Whatever version of GPT-5.2 scores the best on the METR time horizon is the version of GPT-5.2 relevant to this market. That could be a future 5.2 codex model or the current model as it is.
3 hours 30 minutes exactly would resolve no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Gemini 3's METR 50% time horizon
Gemini 3.0 Pro outperforms GPT-5 on METR 50% time horizon?
84% chance
Claude Opus 4.5's METR-50 time horizon
Grok 5's METR 50% time horizon
R2's METR 50% time horizon
Will a model achieve a METR 50% time-horizon of 4+ hours by the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will GPT-5.2 surpass 3 hours in METR time horizon?
80% chance
Will GPT-5.1 have a longer METR time horizon than Gemini 3?
32% chance
Opus 4.5's METR time horizon beats Gemini 3.0 Pro's?
80% chance
Opus 4.5's METR time horizon beats GPT-5.1's?
80% chance