Opus 4.5's METR time horizon beats GPT-5.1's?
5
100Ṁ273
Jan 1
85%
chance

The 50% time horizon will be used for resolution. 2 hours and 42 minutes is the length of the METR 50% time horizon for GPT-5.1.-Codex-Max and will be used for the purposes of resolving this market. Ties resolve no.

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