Will GPT-5.2 surpass 3 hours in METR time horizon? | Manifold

Will GPT-5.2 surpass 3 hours in METR time horizon?

10

100Ṁ261

2027

88%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

For the purposes of this market, any model OpenAI releases that appears to be a successor to GPT-5.1 will resolve, regardless if it’s actual name.

Market context

GPT-5 Speculation

AI model releases

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Before 2026, will Gemini 3.0 exceed GPT-5 in Metr estimated time horizon?

Will GPT-5.2's METR 50% time horizon exceed 3 hours 30 minutes?

Will GPT-5.1 have a longer METR time horizon than Gemini 3?

Related questions

Before 2026, will Gemini 3.0 exceed GPT-5 in Metr estimated time horizon?

Will GPT-5.2's METR 50% time horizon exceed 3 hours 30 minutes?

Will GPT-5.1 have a longer METR time horizon than Gemini 3?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy