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MANIFOLD
How many times will the Trump admin and/or NVIDIA flip-flop on giving NVIDIA chips to China before 2028? (fun)
4
Ṁ1kṀ192
2027
31%
10-15
22%
16-20
16%
21-29
14%
30-49
16%
Other

Both 'flips' and 'flops' are counted, so a flip to yes and then no counts as 2. Will be pretty generous in judging what counts as a flip or flop. This market is not super serious, resolution will be most likely delegated to chatgpt (whose current count is 13).

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