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MANIFOLD
How many times will the Trump admin and/or NVIDIA flip-flop on giving NVIDIA chips to China before 2028? (fun)
1
Ṁ1kṀ100
2027
24%
10-15
24%
16-20
18%
21-29
16%
30-49
18%
Other

Both 'flips' and 'flops' are counted, so a flip to yes and then no counts as 2. Will be pretty generous in judging what counts as a flip or flop. This market is not super serious, resolution will be most likely delegated to chatgpt (whose current count is 13).

Market context
Trump's Second Term
China
Nvidia
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