Will AI double the human lifespan within 5 years? (Before february 2030)
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1kṀ4815
2030
5%
chance

/Bayesian/will-ai-double-the-human-lifespan-w

WARNING: If this is ambiguously achieved (new antiaging tech of uncertain capability) , the market may remain open for a while, so we can learn whether or not this happened.

  • Update 2025-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Ambiguously Achieved Technology:

    • If new antiaging tech of uncertain capability is involved, the resolution may not be immediate.

Extended Market Period:

  • In cases of ambiguity, the market will remain open beyond the initial closing time to allow for further evaluation.

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@jskf I added the following warning:

WARNING: If this is ambiguously achieved (new antiaging tech of uncertain capability) , the market may remain open for a while, so we can learn whether or not this happened.

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