MANIFOLD
High Class or Low Class? - Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "High Class" in 2025? (add answers)
24
Ṁ2.4kṀ3k
resolved Jan 16
Resolved
YES
Skiing
Resolved
YES
Using Food Delivery Apps
Resolved
YES
Caring about whether a certain behavior is high class or low class
Resolved
YES
Using generative AI
Resolved
YES
Sailing
Resolved
YES
Going to Horse Races
Resolved
YES
Mountains
Resolved
YES
Environmental activists
Resolved
YES
Brennan Lee Mulligan
Resolved
50%
Appearing on the JRE podcast
Resolved
50%
Hunting
Resolved
NO
Christmas lights up after the New Year
Resolved
NO
Having more than 5 kids
Resolved
NO
Starbucks
Resolved
NO
Dubai
Resolved
NO
Beaches
Resolved
NO
Snowboarding
Resolved
NO
Captcha

Each answer contains a question: Do you think the person/character/concept is more High Class (YES) or more Low Class (NO)? Bet YES, or NO, according to your opinion. RULES CHANGE: this will now be impacted by the amount of shares you hold to increase accuracy.

Heavily inspired from @Joshua's excellent market,

Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?

You can submit any person/character/concept (shortened to p/c/c for the rest of the description), as well as a link / short phrase to give traders some context.

I may N/A options for quality control, or edit them to provide a more neutral summary.


As a trader, you should buy any amount of YES in p/c/c you think are High Class, buy any amount of NO in p/c/c you think are Low Class. I will leave the definition of those terms up to you. The amount of shares DOES matter for the resolution.

The market will close on Dec 31 2025. I will then check the positions tab on options that have been submitted.

  • Update 2025-08-01 (PST): - Resolution Criteria:

    • An option resolves to YES if it receives more than 50% of the total votes.

    • It resolves to NO if it receives 50% or less.

    • The number of individual votes does not impact the resolution. (AI summary of creator comment)

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So each one resolves YES if greater than 50%, NO if less than 50% at market close? Or is it based on the user with the most shares at market close?

@Arky it’s just YES if greater than 50% and No if lower. The number of individual votes does not matter I this one.

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