Will Trump announce his 2024 presidential campaign by the end of 2022?
46
490Ṁ6363resolved Nov 16
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Trump files formal paperwork with the FEC that he is a candidate for the GOP nomination.
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Polymarket at 84% https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-trump-file-to-run-for-president-before-2023
Not sure why it's so low.
Possible arbitrage: https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/when-will-donald-trump-announce-his
@Gigacasting Shame we can't short the multiple choice answers. Although the market on that is going to make me some mana.
Updated: https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/when-will-trump-announce-his-candid-87d43994d77e
(Better leverage around the date)
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Former President Trump says he has made a decision about running for the White House again in 2024.
The “big decision,” he told New York magazine in an interview published Thursday, is whether to announce before or after November’s midterm elections.
“Well, in my own mind, I’ve already made that decision, so nothing factors in anymore. In my own mind, I’ve already made that decision,” he said.
He added, “Do I go before or after? That will be my big decision.”
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