Will a nuclear weapon be detonated by end of 2024? (tests included)

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2024?

Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?

Conditional on Russia using nuclear weapons by 2025, will China officially condemn Russia, announce the end of the partnership, and - in the perception of NATO consensus - act accordingly?

In what year will the Chinese nuclear arsenal reach parity with the US and Russians?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before the end of 2024?

Will the US & China agree in 2024 to keep a human in the loop for decisions to use nuclear weapons?

Will the People’s Republic of China switch to a ‘launch on warning’ nuclear posture by 2028?

Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?

[Metaculus] Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before...interference with Taiwan?