Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?
Plus
31
Ṁ9212030
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
China is assessed to have 500 nuclear warheads as of Jan 2024. The United States Department of Defense believes China "will probably have over 1,000 operational nuclear warheads by 2030."
Will China's stockpile of operational nuclear warheads be 1,000 or more before 2030, according to credible sources?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
69% chance
Will China have 10 nuclear supertankers by 2030?
30% chance
Will China declare war on another country by 2030?
25% chance
Will the Chinese define “minimum deterrent posture” for its nuclear forces by the end of 2024?
17% chance
Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
23% chance
In what year will the Chinese nuclear arsenal reach parity with the US and Russians?
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
36% chance
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?
58% chance
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
14% chance
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2024?