Will China establish a new military base in another country by 2027?
7
100Ṁ952027
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve YES if China establishes any new military base in another country (outside of national borders or territories)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
26% chance
Will China open a military facility in the Chagos Islands before 2040?
20% chance
Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?
60% chance
Will China declare war on another country by 2030?
25% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
36% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?
26% chance
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2026?
44% chance
[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
6% chance
Will China convert its industrial overcapacity to military production before 2030?
54% chance