Will a new nation possess nuclear weapons by 2025?
28
1kṀ3642
Dec 31
4%
chance

As of today, states in possession of nuclear weapons include the United States, Russia, United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, North Korea and Israel (although Israel doesn't publicly acknowledge its nuclear weapons).

Will another nation be added to this list before 2025 by one of the follow actions?

  • Conducting a nuclear weapon test

  • Employing a nuclear weapon

  • Official government statements explicitly claiming possession of nuclear weapons

Nuclear Risk
Nuclear
International Affairs
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