Will more than 5% of Gazans be killed during the ongoing war between IDF and Hamas by the end of 2024?
28
Ṁ1kṀ2.4kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Last week total deaths passed approximately 1% of all Gazans (20,000).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ117 | |
| 2 | Ṁ114 | |
| 3 | Ṁ27 | |
| 4 | Ṁ24 | |
| 5 | Ṁ16 |
Sort by:
The population of Gaza has fallen 6% since the war with Israel began nearly 15 months ago as about 100,000 Palestinians left the enclave while more than 55,000 are presumed dead, according to the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics (PCBS).
People are also trading
Related questions
Will over 5000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?
39% chance
Will over 1000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?
70% chance
Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war
39% chance
Will 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?
22% chance
Will the civilian death rate from Israeli airstrikes be 60% or higher at the conclusion of the current Palestine war?
91% chance