MANIFOLD
Will Iran publicly execute 100+ of the currently imprisoned protesters by March 31, 2023?
34
Ṁ670Ṁ7.7k
resolved Apr 2
Resolved
NO

The Iranian legislature overwhelmingly passed a law condeming all protesters arrested during the current uprising to death. To what extent will they follow through on this threat? There are thousands of prisons to which this new law applies.

Market context
Iran
Iranian Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ224
2Ṁ112
3Ṁ112
4Ṁ43
5Ṁ35

People are also trading

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
30% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
30% chance
How many Iranians will be killed by it's regime in 2026?
41,368
If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
47% chance
What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?
Will Iranian protest successfully over Ali Khamenei's term before 1st march
13% chance
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 100k)?
81,951
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2025?
95% chance
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 5k)?
5,435
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 10k)?
14,472
Sort by:

How will it be resolved whether the executions are private vs public?

do killings by the military count?

see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_Iran#:~:text=In%202018%20there%20was%20at,Amini%20protests%20across%20the%20country for history of public executions

Will Iran publicly execute 100+ of the currently imprisoned protesters by March 31, 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
30% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
-4% 1d30% chance
How many Iranians will be killed by it's regime in 2026?
41,368
If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
+8% 1d47% chance
What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?
Will Iranian protest successfully over Ali Khamenei's term before 1st march
13% chance
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 100k)?
81,951
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2025?
95% chance
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 5k)?
5,435
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 10k)?
14,472
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy