Have Chinese researchers broken modern encryption using quantum computers?
38
750Ṁ1268
resolved May 20
Resolved
NO

That's the claim they are making. If true it's a BFD.

China
Quantum Computing
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predictedNO

@BTE Seems like if they had broken encryption, we would've heard more about it by now. Any update on what you would need to see to resolve this NO?

@BoltonBailey Fair enough. Resolving NO. Thanks for the nudge!! I have made too many markets to keep track so I greatly appreciate it!!

Is this the same article that Aaronson called "cargo cult quantum factoring"?

predictedYES

@BoltonBailey Yes

For reference:

https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.12372

predictedNO

https://manifold.markets/link/HQXL4I4E

predictedNO

@DesTiny Tease!

predictedNO

@BTE hehe

How do you plan to resolve? What criteria?

This was going to happen somewhere within 36months imo, and it makes sense as a focus of research in china

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