Will AI or AI-assisted math break AES-256 before quantum computing does? | Manifold

Will AI or AI-assisted math break AES-256 before quantum computing does?

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Lots of judgment calls involved in this, which I will resolve in good faith. (And I won’t bet on this.)

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A hypothetical attack on AES-256 running on a quantum computer would still be math.

Excepting the quantum aspect, this seems impossibly subjective.

What counts as “broken”? We have a 2^119 attack already! If a researcher crafts a “mere” 2^110 attack (~500x stronger than status quo), would that qualify?

What counts as “assisted”? If that researcher admits to mainly incidental use of LLM-based chatbots during their research, would that qualify?

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